Discover how constant maturity impacts Treasury yields, mortgages, and swaps. Learn the role it plays in financial decisions ...

The yield curve, a key economic indicator that has been used to predict recessions, is renewing fears in the U.S. bond markets. The difference between the yield on the two-year and 10-year Treasury ...

Bond traders loaded up wagers on a popular strategy favoring short-end Treasuries over longer-dated debt after an unexpected ...

Explore the yield curve's significance in predicting interest rates, inflation, and economic trends for informed investment decisions.

The US market consensus believes the country has avoided recession, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes showing strong performance. However, yield curves remain deeply inverted, which traditionally ...

Much has been written about the inverted yield curve being a predictor of a recession. The shape of the yield curve has broader applications and can be helpful in structuring a bond portfolio. A ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . Now that the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time since 2018, many in the financial ...

An increasing yield spread has historically marked a prime time to sell stocks The yield curve briefly inverted last week, sparking recession fears and inciting a market sell-off. The S&P 500 Index ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I show you how to save and invest. Historically one of the best recession indicators is yield curve inversion. The U.S. yield ...