An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

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The market's most notorious recession indicator is sending investors a new message: tech stocks are about to get left behind. That's according to Jim Paulsen, a Wall Street veteran and the former ...

Michael Burry’s latest filing points toward caution on Chinese tech, Nvidia, recession indicators, and consumer weakness. His ...

Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slid below those on two-year notes on Wednesday, delivering a reliable recession signal and sending shudders through global financial markets. Other sections of ...

The yield on the 10-year note finished September 11, 2026, at 4.96% while the 2-year note ended at 4.63%. Read more here.

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically, the National Bureau ...

If you're looking for a way to prepare your portfolio before a recession hits, the Treasury market usually provides some signals. Historically, the spread between the yields of the 10-year and 3-month ...

You're currently following this author! Want to unfollow? Unsubscribe via the link in your email. The market's most notorious recession indicator is sending investors a new message: tech stocks are ...